Looking forward to 2016~2020, the LED market continues to grow

The rate continues to increase, the demand for small spacing is strong. In 2015, the global LED lighting penetration rate reached 30%, and maintained an upward trend. It is expected to reach 40% penetration rate by 2017. In terms of market size, the global LED lighting market reached US$24.3 billion in 2015, an increase of 17.53% year-on-year. It is estimated that by 2017, the global LED lighting market will reach US$30.3 billion, with a compound growth rate of approximately 11.61% in 16-17. The strong demand of LED small pitch market has alleviated the supply and demand relationship of LED to some extent. Generally, the smaller the dot pitch, the more the number of lamp beads used per unit square, so the development of LED small pitch market has increased the LED lamp bead. demand.

The rise of international manufacturers and the rise of mainland manufacturers: From the perspective of the global distribution of LED industry, in recent years, with the trend of low-cost lighting, Chinese LED manufacturers have gradually emerged, and the market share has increased from 5% in 2009 to 2015. 25%, the growth is very rapid. The market share of Japanese and Korean manufacturers has gradually declined. The market share of Japanese manufacturers has decreased from 33% in 2009 to 24% in 2015. The market share of Korean manufacturers has dropped from 19% in 2009 to 15% in 2015. . Both Philips and Osram are gradually selling or divesting the LED lighting business. Samsung Electronics has also downgraded its LED business unit to an operational group. LG has also adjusted its LED business unit. Nisshin is liquidating its LED chip and packaging business. From the perspective of LED lighting market share, the market share of Chinese LED manufacturers is gradually rising. The market share of Mulinsen has increased from 3.6% in 14 years to 4.1% in 15 years. Hongli Optoelectronics has entered the top ten in 15 years. The rate reached 2.95%.

Investment strategy: From the perspective of the supply side, the international manufacturers are gradually weakening, and the influence of mainland manufacturers is gradually increasing. The withdrawal or compression of international manufacturers will provide a better competitive environment for the remaining competitors. From the demand side, the LED lighting penetration rate is still rising, and the rapid growth of the small pitch market has driven the demand for LEDs. Looking forward to 2016~2020, the overall LED market demand will continue to grow, and the industry logic of “Big Evergrande” will benefit related companies.

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